COMMENTARY

Fear of travel is at a high, but the data tells a different story. Here's why your summer vacation is still a safe bet, from peace rankings to airline risk.

No, your summer vacation isn’t going to kill you

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Fear of travel is running high this summer. A reader named Cindy Smith nearly canceled a Danube river cruise and a week in Croatia after reading headlines about a cruise hantavirus outbreak and crew arrests. She is not alone. In a recent Global Rescue survey, less than 1 percent of respondents said their concerns about personal safety abroad had eased since last year, while 56 percent said they felt more concerned. Travelers cite three recurring fears: airlines collapsing mid-trip, dangerous conditions abroad, and anti-American sentiment. Yet the major U.S. carriers such as Delta, United, American, and Southwest remain profitable, and a conflict on one side of a continent does not make the other side unsafe.

Simple hand-drawn Bauhaus-inspired minimalist illustration on a white background showing a black line-drawing of an airplane taking off on the upper left and a small black line-drawing of a car on the lower right, separated by a single bold red diagonal line running corner to corner, symbolizing the widening divide between affluent air travelers spending more per trip and budget-conscious travelers priced out of summer vacations this year

The summer travel divide: How to find affordable vacations this year

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Summer travel intent has hit its lowest point since the pandemic. Deloitte’s latest summer travel survey found only 45 percent of travelers plan a summer vacation with paid lodging this year, the lowest figure in six years. Travel intent fell across every income bracket, but the drop among households earning under $100,000 was twice as steep as the decline among middle- and high-income earners, an 8-point drop versus 4 points each. The travelers still going plan to spend $4,069 on their summer vacations, up 17 percent from last year. Deloitte’s broader 2026 outlook calls this a bifurcation of standard and luxury travel and frames competition for the high-spending traveler as one of the year’s defining trends. Travelers earning between $100,000 and $199,000 show the biggest booking gap, with 37 percent fully booked versus 45 percent last year, leaving a large amount of unsold late-May inventory that revenue managers are aware of.

Editorial cartoon illustration of a smiling AI robot with "AI" labeled on its chest holding out a paper voucher in one hand and a colorful striped "Favor" shopping bag in the other, while a frustrated middle-aged man in a blue polo shirt stands with arms crossed next to his black rolling suitcase refusing the offer, illustrating how travel companies use automated systems to push customers into accepting vouchers instead of legally required cash refunds

Why are travel companies replacing real refunds with “coupon justice”?

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Travel companies are increasingly replacing cash refunds with vouchers and goodwill credits when flights cancel, hotel rooms fail, and rental cars run out of vehicles. The practice exploded after the pandemic when companies pivoted to vouchers to hoard cash. The actual redemption rate for travel vouchers is below 10 percent, meaning a 90 percent chance the credit goes unused and the company keeps your money entirely. Under U.S. Department of Transportation rules, airlines must provide prompt refunds to your original form of payment when they cancel flights or make significant schedule changes. Airlines offering only vouchers without a genuine cash option violate these legal obligations. Hotels and online booking sites operate in a legal gray zone with few hard rules governing refund practices.

Black and white editorial cartoon showing a worried woman with short hair pulling a small rolling suitcase down a pier with her mouth open in alarm, while four masked workers in white hazmat suits stand in front of a large white cruise ship's open dark hold preparing to board, illustrating the cruise industry's mounting safety crisis of viral outbreaks, deaths, and federal scandals during summer 2026

This isn’t the summer for a cruise

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A hantavirus outbreak on the Dutch MV Hondius killed three people and infected at least eight more, caused by the Andes virus strain, the only hantavirus known to spread person to person. The Caribbean Princess arrived in Port Canaveral with 102 passengers and 13 crew members sick from norovirus, the fourth gastrointestinal outbreak on a cruise ship this year. U.S. Customs and Border Protection detained 28 crew members at the Port of San Diego, with 27 allegedly involved in child sexual abuse material. The CDC Vessel Sanitation Program lost its full-time civilian staff a year ago, and its chief retired during the hantavirus outbreak. Most cruise ships sail under flags of convenience like Bermuda, Panama, the Bahamas, and Liberia, escaping U.S. labor, safety, and consumer protection laws.

Editorial illustration showing four silhouetted figures with their hands raised to their heads in confusion or doubt, standing on concentric ring patterns and looking up at a large dark-blue globe of Earth with a giant white question mark hovering in front of it, illustrating how travelers are increasingly questioning the recommendations of professional travel experts in an age of paid influencers and commission-driven advice

Travelers are ignoring the advice of professionals. Here’s why that could be a mistake.

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Travelers are increasingly skeptical of professional advice, ignoring travel agents who collect commissions, influencers paid by destinations, and points bloggers earning kickbacks from credit card companies. A Global Rescue survey shows 85 percent of travelers are concerned about geopolitical instability yet proceed with their plans despite the risks. Cautious skepticism is healthy when evaluating tourism-engine search results and influencer endorsements that dominate Google’s first page. But ignoring U.S. State Department advisories at Level 3 reconsider travel or Level 4 do not travel can lead to serious consequences. The chief medical officer at AXA Partners US says many travelers contract serious diseases and traumatic injuries in risky locations that were easily avoidable by following government advisories.

Editorial illustration showing a single white airplane taking off down a runway between two large fields of grounded yellow Spirit Airlines aircraft on either side, viewed from behind, illustrating how thousands of Spirit Airlines passengers were left stranded after the carrier's shutdown while one rescue flight departs without them

Spirit Airlines’ death shows why we need better passenger protections

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Tens of thousands of Spirit Airlines passengers discovered their tickets were worthless this week after the carrier collapsed. JetBlue is reportedly in financial distress and several ultralow-cost carriers including Frontier, Allegiant, and Avelo have lined up at the federal aid window. Before deregulation in 1978, Rule 240 required airlines to put stranded passengers on a competitor’s next available flight at no extra cost. Congress brought a version back as Section 145 of the Aviation and Transportation Security Act after 9/11, but it expired in 2005. The DOT issued Order 2026-5-1 encouraging rescue fares but cannot compel airlines to honor competitor tickets without congressional action.